Applying Non-stable Time Series Model to Forecast the Groundwater Dynamic Variation in the Well-Irrigated Rice Area in Sanjiang Plain
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract: Groundwater shortage has become a very serious problem in Sanjiang Plain. More and more so-called “funnels” and “hanging pumps” situations occurred due to water shortages. The overall trend of groundwater level has decreased continually over the years. In this study, the Chuang Ye Farm in Jian San Jiang Department was taken as an example to develop a non-stable time series random model by applying the random analysis method. The model was used to simulate the dynamic variation and forecast the trend in the future. This study aims to provide a better understanding for the sustainable development of agriculture and use of groundwater resources. [Nature and Science. 2004;2(3):55-61].
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